Figures about Haringey
Population profile of Haringey
(page updated: 14/08/12)
- Overview
- GP registered population
- Gender
- Age structure
- Children and young people
- Ethnic profile of residents of Haringey
- Religion
- Ward level population
- Population projections
Health issues relating to population
Sources of population change in Haringey
This page uses a number of images to display data in tables. To access the data in these tables, the Haringey demographic data spreadsheet is available in the attached files section below.
Click for a print-friendly version of this section (PDF, 1.28MB).
For more figures about Haringey please email the Business Intelligence team: business.intelligence@haringey.gov.uk
|Back to topPopulation
Overview
Haringey is an exceptionally diverse and fast-changing borough. We have a population estimated to be 225,000 according to the 2010 Office for National Statistics (ONS) Mid Year Estimates. Almost half of our population, and three-quarters of our young people, are from ethnic minority backgrounds, and around 200 languages are spoken in the borough. Our population is the fifth most ethnically diverse in the country.
The borough ranks as one of the most deprived in the country with pockets of extreme deprivation in the east. Haringey is the 13th most deprived borough in England and the 4th most deprived in London (see Deprivation section).
It is important to note that:
- the Greater London Authority (GLA) also publishes population information. In 2011, they estimate that 237,900 people lived in Haringey, 5.7% higher than the ONS 2010 Mid Year Estimate. The GLA estimate takes into account projected house builds and the population figure is often higher than the ONS estimate
- the resources that are allocated to Haringey Council are based on the ONS population estimates
- in 2010, for the first time, the 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections (SNPP) included international migration figures. This is explained further in the section on population projections section)
- the inclusion of these figures estimate Haringey's population to be 238,900. Haringey Council has lobbied for these migration changes in the past as they have always believed that the ONS population figures were underestimating Haringey's population.
The population of Haringey is growing. Under the SNPP method, the 2010 ONS population estimate of 238,900 is projected to to reach 309,500 by 2035 This would be a 29.6% increase. Following the national trend, Haringey's population is ageing, with the proportion of those of pensionable age (65 plus) projected to increase from 11.4% of the population to 14.5% by 2035.
The first release of the 2011 National Census (PDF, 619KB) by the ONS in July 2012 will give the most accurate population estimate.
People Registered with a Haringey GP
276,212 people are registered with a Haringey GP (March 2012). Of these, 237,268 (86%) live in the borough.
39,444 people who live outside the borough use primary care services in Haringey, equivalent to 14% of the registered GP population. Enfield residents account for the highest proportion of out of borough registrations (9.3%), followed by Barnet (2.1%) and Camden and Islington (1.9%). A further 0.9% come from other boroughs. We do not know how many Haringey residents use primary care services outside the borough, but it is likely to be a similar proportion to those who live outside the borough and use Haringey’s services.
Gender
Out of the 225,000 people in Haringey 50.7% are Male and 49.3% are Female. The population pyramid below shows the breakdown of gender by age.
Figure 1 shows the age breakdown of Haringey and London by gender.
Fig 1, Source: 2010 Mid Year Estimates, ONS
Fig 1A - Data for this graph is taken from Fig 1
|Back to topAge structure
According to Office for National Statistics (ONS) estimates, Haringey’s population in 2010 was 225,000.
The proportion of the population aged 25-49 in Haringey is significantly higher than London.
Haringey's younger population has a similar age profile to London, with 23.9% of Haringey residents aged less than 20 years in 2010 (compared with 23.8% in London). The population aged 65 and over has increased slightly as a proportion of the total population, from 9.3% in 2006 to 9.5% in 2010. This is not consistent with London, the population of which has declined over the same period from 11.8%. to 11.6%
Figure 2 shows the breakdown by particular age groups. Data on all ages are available if required.
Fig 2, Source: 2010 Mid Year Estimates, ONS
Fig 2A - Figures from this graph is taken from Fig 2
|Back to topChildren and Young People
There are approximately 53,800 children and young people under 20 living in Haringey. The wards with the largest number of people aged under 20 in Haringey are: Seven Sisters, Northumberland Park, White Hart Lane and Tottenham Hale. A comprehensive needs assessment of children and young people in Haringey is available online and discusses children and young people in more detail.
It is worth noting that there are more children in the east of Haringey, which has higher levels of deprivation than the west (for more detailed information see the 2010 Indices of Multiple Deprivation (external link)).
Fig 3, Source: 2010 Mid Year Estimates, ONS
|Back to topEthnic profile of residents of Haringey
According to the 2009 Mid Year Ethnicity Estimates, 48.7% of the Haringey population are not White British. This is higher than the London figure of 40.5%. It was estimated that the largest ethnic groups in Haringey were White British (51.3%), White Other (11.9%), Black Caribbean (6.6%) and Black African (8.1%).
Figure 4 shows the ethnic breakdown of Haringey compared to London.
The Mid Year Ethnicity Estimates were first published, as experimental statistics, in 2006 and are now available for areas in England and Wales for each year from 2001 to 2009. The experimental statistics status of the estimates indicates that they have not yet reached the standards required for National Statistics, and each release has been accompanied by supporting information noting possible sources of error in the estimates.
Ethnicity proportions will be clearer with the ONS data release of the 2011 Census in July 2012.
Fig 4, Source: 2009 Mid Year Ethnicity Estimates - ONS
Fig 4A - Figures for this graph taken from Fig 4
Ethnicity of pupils attending Haringey Schools (source: January 2011 School Census - aged 3-18)
The ethnic diversity of school children is another way of measuring the ethnic diversity of an area. The most common ethnic origin of school pupils in Haringey is White Other (21.0%), White British (19.9%), followed by Black African (17.4%) and Black Caribbean (11.2%). (see Figure 5).
The school census is a good representation of the youngest 15% of Haringey's population and appears to be more diverse than the overall population.
Fig 5, Source: School Census Jan 2011
|Back to topReligion
Haringey is one of the most religiously diverse places in the UK. The most up-to-date figures on the religious profile of Haringey residents come from the 2001 Census. In 2001, half of the residents of Haringey were Christian, 8.1% less than London and 21.6% less than England and Wales. 11.3% of Haringey residents stated their religion was Muslim, 2.8% higher than London, and 8.3% higher than England and Wales. Haringey has a lower percentage of residents who stated their religion as Hindu (2.1%) and Sikh (0.3%) than London (4.1% and 1.5%, respectively). A fifth of Haringey residents stated that they did not have a religion.
Fig 6, Source: 2001 Census - Religion
Fig 6A - Figures for this graph taken from Fig 6
Ward level population
Haringey is divided into 19 administrative areas called wards, which vary in population between 9,790 and 13,934.
Wards in the west of the borough tend to have smaller populations with Muswell Hill and Highgate having the lowest and Seven Sisters having the highest.
Figure 7 shows the total ward population and age structure across the borough for, 0-19, 20-64 and 65+. Other age groups are available if required.
Fig 7, Source: 2010 Mid Year Estimates, ONS
Fig 7A - Data for this chart is taken from Fig 7
|Back to topPopulation projections
If we are to understand the future needs of residents of Haringey, we need to understand how the population will change over time. The population of Haringey is expected to continue to grow, but estimates of the rate of growth vary.
It has long been recognised that international migration is one of the most difficult components of population change to measure accurately. ONS have recently carried out an Improving Migration and Population Statistics (IMPS) (external link) project to try and rectify this issue.
As a result of this project there is a new methodology to count international migration. The new methodology includes administrative datasets such as National Insurance registrations, where previous address was overseas (NINO). Previously, the international passenger survey (IPS) was used but this was deemed not fit for purpose at a local level.
The first official dataset that includes the new methodology is the 2010 Sub National Population Projections (SNPP). The 2010 SNPP figure for Haringey is 238,900 compared to the 2010 Mid Year Estimate of 225,000. Despite both datasets coming from ONS, the reason for the difference in these figures is that the SNPP use the new international migration methodology and the Mid Year Estimates use the old one. ONS have stated that all future estimates and projections will use the new improved methodology.
The 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections predict that Haringey's population will increase to 309,500 by 2035. This would be a 29.6% increase on the the 2010 population estimate of 238,900.
Fig 8, Source: 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections
|Back to topAge projections
Please note that the predicted 2010 sub-national population is slightly different from the 2010 population estimates.
The population of Haringey is expected to increase in age over the next 25 years. This section looks at how different age groups (population of young people, working age and over 65s) is projected to change.
0-19 year olds
The 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections predict that Haringey's 0-19 population will have increased to 66,700 by 2033. This would be a 21.7% increase on the 2010 population estimate of 54,800.
Fig 9, Source: 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections
The 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections predict that the 0-19 population in 2035 will account for 21.6% of the Haringey population (London 23.1%), a decrease from 22.9% in 2010 .
20-64 year olds
The 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections predict that Haringey's 20-64 population will have increased to 206,300 by 2035. This would be a 26.9% increase on the the 2010 population estimate of 162,600.
Fig 10, Source: 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections
The 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections predict that the 20-64 population in 2035 will account for 66.7% of the Haringey population (London's proportion will be 62.4%), a decrease from 68.1% in 2010.
65+ year olds
The 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections predict that Haringey's 65+ population will have increased to 36,500 by 2035. This would be a 69.8% increase on the the 2010 population estimate of 21,500.
Fig 11, Source: 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections
The 2010 ONS Sub National Population Projections predict that the 65+ population in 2035 will account for 14.5% of the Haringey population (London 14.2%), up from 11.4% in 2010.
|Back to topProjecting the needs of older people
As Haringey's older people population is projected to increase by 69.8% over the next 25 years, the Experience Still Counts Strategy aims to promote positive attitudes towards ageing in Haringey. The Equalities impact assessment (PDF 87KB) for this strategy contains a detailed demographic breakdown of the over 50s in Haringey.
|Back to topHealth issues related to population
Mortality
In the years 2008-2010 there were 3,540 deaths in Haringey. Of these 1,906 were men and 1,636 were women. The main causes of death for each sex were disease of the circulatory system and cancer, which accounted for 63% of all deaths. Other significant causes of death were for respiratory disease (12%), external causes (5%) and disease of the digestive system (5%). Other causes accounted for 15% of the total.
Deaths in Haringey (2008-2010)
Fig 12, Source: ONS, VS3 files (2008-2010)
*Circulatory disease includes CHD (Chronic Heart Disease) and stroke
Cause of death – All Ages (2008-2010)
Fig 13, Source: ONS, VS3 files (2008-2010)
Amongst the under 75’s cancer and circulatory disease accounted for 60% of all deaths. However, cancer was the highest cause 36%, followed by circulatory disease (24%). External causes accounted for 10% of all deaths (5% amongst the general population).
Cause of death – under 75 (2008-2010)
Fig 14, Source: ONS, VS3 files (2008-2010)
Mortality rates (all ages) in Haringey have dropped year on year in Haringey although they remain above those of both London and England and Wales. Indeed, they have been so since 1993.
Fig 15, Mortality rates - persons - 1993-2009
Mortality rates amongst males are higher than both England and Wales and London.
Fig 16, Mortality rates - males - 1993-2009
Mortality rates for females have fluctuated around the rates for London and England and Wales. Although they have been lower than each since 2004.
Fig 17, Mortality rates - females - 1993-2009
|Back to topLife Expectancy
Life expectancy measures the number of years that a new baby can expect to live in a geographical location based on the ages that residents die in that area. Life expectancy will be lower in areas where there are high levels of premature death and in particular areas where there are larger numbers of infant deaths.
In Haringey, the gap in life expectancy between men and women is 6.3 years compared to 4.0 years in England. Male life expectancy is significantly lower in Haringey than in London and England and female life expectancy is significantly higher than in England.
Male life expectancy has grown year on year since 1991. The current life expectancy for men in Haringey is 77.4 years (72.5 in 1991-93) compared to 79.0 years in London and 78.6 years in England. However, the gap of 1.2 years between Haringey and England is the same as it was in 1991-93 and has been wider in recent years.
Male Life Expectancy - 1991-2010 in Haringey, London and England
Fig 18, Source: ONS
Female life expectancy is currently 83.7 years (78.4 in 1991-93) compared to 83.3 years in London and 82.6 years in England. However the 3 year rolling averages for female life expectancy show that in 2008-2010 life expectancy remains the same as it did in 2007-2009.
Female Life Expectancy - 1991-2010 in Haringey, London and England
Fig 19, Source: ONS
Life Expectancy differences within Haringey
Within Haringey there are large variations in life expectancy for both men and women based on the ward in which they live. Life expectancy for men ranges from 72.5 years in Tottenham Green to 81.5 years in Fortis Green – a gap of 9 years. 11 out of the 19 wards in Haringey have life expectancies that are significantly lower than the England average. The variation in male life expectancy is closely linked to deprivation levels across the borough – more deprived areas have lower life expectancy.
Fig 20, Male Life Expectancy
The gap in female life expectancy across Haringey wards is 11.6 years; the lowest life expectancy is in Tottenham Hale (78.3 years) and the highest is in Stroud Green (89.9 years). 8 out of the 19 wards have life expectancies that are significantly higher than the England average and only 2 wards where life expectancy is significantly lower (Tottenham Hale and White Hart Lane). The pattern across Haringey is not as clear for females as it is for males and cannot be explained by deprivation levels alone.
Fig 21, Female Life Expectancy
|Back to topExplaining the lower life expectancy in males in Haringey.
The largest contributors to the male life expectancy gap compared to the England average are circulatory disease (mainly cardiovascular disease), cancer and respiratory diseases. If we were able to significantly reduce the level of disease within these categories the gap would decrease as a direct result. These diseases are closely linked to smoking.
The next largest contributors are diseases of the digestive system, external causes and infant deaths (although the number of infant deaths continues to fall in Haringey – link to Infant Mortality section)
Contributions to the gap in life expectancy between Haringey males and England males.
Fig 22, Source: London Health Observatory
|Back to topPremature Mortality
Premature Mortality and its impact on life expectancy.
Premature mortality measures deaths that occur within the population to people aged under 75 years and are often referred to as avoidable deaths. A high proportion of premature death has a significant impact on life expectancy; such is the case for men living in Haringey (see life expectancy section).
The two main disease areas that are associated with premature mortality are circulatory disease (or cardiovascular disease) and cancer. A high level of infant mortality, which is another element of premature mortality, also contributes towards lowering life expectancy and a higher premature mortality rate.
|Back to topPremature deaths from circulatory disease
Premature CVD mortality rates have fallen year on year, but remain above the rates in both London and England and Wales. The rates in London are very similar to the England and Wales rates. The rate in Haringey fell from 169.1 in 1993-95 to 86.1 in 2007-09. They remain above the rates in London (75.3) and England and Wales (71.1).
However, by looking at the data by gender it is clear that the relatively high rate of premature CVD mortality is due to excess deaths within males. From the charts below it is clear that men in Haringey do not only experience a higher rate of death, but the gap between males in Haringey and the rest of the country is much bigger than it is for females.
Under 75 CVD mortality rate per 100,000
Fig 23, Source: NCHOD
Under 75 CVD mortality rate per 100,000 (males)
Fig 24, Source: NCHOD
Under 75 CVD mortality rate per 100,000 (females)
Fig 25, Source: NCHOD
|Back to topThe rate of cancer death amongst the under 75’s has fallen from 149 per 100,000 in 1993-95 to 122 per 100,000 in 2007-09. However, the current rate is above the rates for both London (108.2) and England and Wales (112.6).
Under 75 cancer mortality rate per 100,000
Fig 26, Source: NCHOD
From looking at the mortality rates by gender it is clear that the rate of premature cancer mortality in males is almost three times higher than in females (males – 130.7, females 46.6). In addition to this the rate for males is considerably higher compared to London and England and Wales, while the rate amongst females is similar to the rates for London and England and Wales females. This suggests that inequalities in cancer deaths amongst males are impacting on the lower life expectancy for Haringey men.
Under 75 cancer mortality rate per 100,000 (males)
Fig 27, Source: NCHOD
Under 75 cancer mortality rate per 100,000 (females)
Fig 28, Source: NCHOD
Premature mortality by ward.
The following maps highlight the variation in premature mortality rates across Haringey. It is clear that for both cancer and circulatory disease that the rate of death in the east of the borough are generally higher than rates for England and are lower in the west of the borough.
(NB: A standardised mortality Ratio (SMR) is a measure that compares the observed number of deaths over a given period compared to the expected number of deaths derived from national death rates for the disease in question. Hence, SMRs > 100 show more than expected death and those <100 suggest that there is less death than expected).
Premature Mortality from circulatory disease (2005-2009)
Fig 29, Source: London Health Programmes – Needs Assessment Toolkit
Premature Mortality from cancer (2005-2009)
Fig 30, Source: London Health Programmes – Needs Assessment Toolkit
|Back to topInfant mortality relates to children who are born but subsequently die before their first birthday. It is normally expressed as a rate per 1,000 live births.
In Haringey, infant mortality rates have decreased steadily since 2003 when there was a peak of 8.1 per 1,000 live births. The current rate of 4.8 is marginally above the rates for London (4.4) and England (4.7). See Infant Mortality section for more details
Infant Mortality Rate (1997-2009)
Fig 31, Source: NCHOD
|Back to topSources of population change in Haringey
Historically, Haringey has experienced a high level of population turnover. Most population turnover occurs by people moving into and out of other parts of the UK. 24,230 migrants moved to Haringey in the 2009/10 year, 20% of these came from outside the UK. Population growth in Haringey tends to be due to births outnumbering deaths rather than net inward migration.
Births and deaths
The number of children born to Haringey residents has been increasing year on year since 2002 in line with the London and England trend. Deaths of Haringey residents have been decreasing since 2004 following a similar pattern to London. In 2009/10 there were 3,285 more births than deaths in the borough.
Births
In 2010 there were 4,456 births in Haringey.
Total births in Haringey have been steadily increasing since 2002 (with a decrease in 2008). The birth rate (births per 1000 of the population) in Haringey has been consistently higher than London in this period.
Fig 32A - Graph based on figures from Fig 32
Fig 32, Source: ONS Vital statistics files VS1 (2002-2010)
Deaths
The number of people who are Haringey residents has been falling in recent years, however between 2009 and 2010 the number has risen from 1145 to 1214. The standardised rate (which enables populations with different age profiles to be compared) suggests that the death rate in Haringey is higher than those of both London and England (see Figure 33).
Fig 33A - Chart based on Fig 33 table per 100,000 population
Fig 33, Mortality numbers
|Back to topFertility rates
Fertility rates measure the rate of live births amongst the fertile population (women aged 15-44 years). The rates have increased consistently and there were 725 extra live birth between 2002 and 2010. The rates in Haringey are considerably higher than both London and England and Wales.
Fig 34A - Graph based on figures from Fig 34
Fig 34, Source: ONS Vital statistics files VS1 (2002-2010)
|Back to topMigration
Internal Migration
In 2009/2010 ONS state that 19,280 people moved to Haringey from another part of the UK. This is 85.6 per 1000 of the population (7th highest rate in London).
In the same period 23,300 people left Haringey for another part of the UK. This is 103.4 per 1000 of the population (5th highest rate in London).
International Migration
In 2009/2010 ONS state that 4,950 people moved to Haringey from overseas (Figure 35). This is 21.9 per 1000 of the population (13th highest rate in London).
In the same period 4,644 people left Haringey to live overseas. This is 20.6 per 1000 of the population (10th highest rate in London).
Historically, Haringey has experienced a high level of population turnover – most of it in the form of people moving into Haringey from elsewhere in the UK or moving out of Haringey to somewhere else in the UK. The 2001 Census found a total of 36,336 migrants moved to Haringey in the year before the Census. Only 10% of these came from outside the UK. As we have seen, Haringey has a growing population. But this is due to the number of babies being born in the borough rather than the number of people moving to it. In fact more people move out of the borough than move into it. A similar picture is seen across London, with more residents leaving than settling in the city. Here again, population growth is due to births outnumbering deaths rather than net inward migration.
Fig 35A -International migration per 1000 population
Fig 35, Source: 2005-2010 Mid Year Estimates, ONS
Poland, Hungary and Bulgaria are the top three countries where people who have registered for national insurance over the last 3 years in Haringey have come from.
Figure 36 shows the top 20 countries since 2008.
Fig 36, Source: 2008-2011 Department of Work and Pensions (DWP)
|Back to topPopulation turnover - Transiency
Council Tax records show that over 14% of the households in Haringey started a new Council Tax Account in 1 year ( Nov 10 to Oct 11).
Harringay ward has the highest proportion of new accounts with 19% of its households starting a new account within the year. The ward with the fewest number of new accounts is White Hart Lane (see Figure 37)
Fig 37, Source: Haringey Council Tax database 2010-11
Fig 38, Source: Haringey Council Tax database 2010-11
Asylum seekers, refugees and migrant workers
The number of asylum seekers supported in accommodation has been declining throughout the country. In Haringey these numbers have reduced to 190 as at March 2011 according to figures from the Home Office (Figure 39).
Fig 39, Source: 2009-2011 Home Office - Asylum Seekers Statistics Accommodation
|Back to topAttached Files
| Filename | Filetype | Size |
|---|---|---|
demographics data table.xls  | Excel | 2443 KB |
