ONS sub-national population projections

• Key facts
• Where to find further Information

Background

The 2004 based sub-national population projections (SNPP) for England were published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Thursday 12 October 2006. The projections provide data on the population, broken down by gender and 5-year age groups to 85+, down to every local authority in England for each year from 2004 to 2029.

It is important to note that the ONS projections are based solely recent demographic trends (i.e. births deaths and migration) and do not consider, for example, the effects likely future housing developments will have on an area.

Key Facts

• Haringey’s population is projected to grow by 6.6 per cent (14,900) between 2004 and 2029.
• Population growth amongst males will outstrip that of females, with the male population projected to grow by 9.1 per cent and the female population by 4.1 per cent. This will result in there being 6,400 more males than females in Haringey by 2029.
• In terms of age, growth is concentrated in the ages 40 to 69 where the increase over 25 years is 17,500 (26.7 per cent).
• Natural change (births minus deaths) is expected to remain consistent over the next 25 years.
• The net migration deficit is projected to improve slightly from a yearly number of -2,100 in 2004 to -1,900 in 2029.
• London’s population is projected to increase by 1.378 million. With a growth rate of 18.6 per cent, London is projected to be the fastest growing region.
• The population of each London borough is projected to grow over the next 25 years with Kensington and Chelsea (83.4 per cent), Westminster (70.2 per cent) and Camden (47.7 per cent) having the largest increases in population.  Population growth will be slowest in Lewisham (2.0 per cent), Hounslow (3.1 per cent) and Newham (5.4 per cent).
• Haringey’s projected population growth rate of 6.6 per cent is the 7^th lowest in London.

Further Information

A detailed briefing about the 2004 SNPP can be accessed from the attached files section below. Alternatively, extra information can be accessed by following the link to the Office for National Statistics' website in the useful external links section below.

Attached Files

Filename	Filetype	Size
2004 snpp briefing	Word	202K

Useful External Links

The following links are not part of the Haringey Council website. Please read our legal disclaimer before using these links

• Office for National Statistics - 2004 Subnational Population Projections

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